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UK growth revised down to zero; firms warn economy is heading for ‘worst of all worlds’ – as it happened

www.theguardian.com 23-12-2024 04:02 2 Minutes reading

UK GDP flatlined in the July-September quarter, ONS reports, as companies warn October budget has hurt economy too

A £3.7bn takeover in the UK insurance sector has been agreed, putting jobs at risk.

Aviva has reached agreement with Direct Line to take over its smaller rival in a cash and share deal.

“This deal is excellent news for the customers and shareholders of Aviva and Direct Line. It builds on our track record of delivering four years of strong financial performance and, in line with our strategy, it accelerates our growth in capital light business.

Aviva and Direct Line share a deep commitment to excellence in looking after customers, and this will remain a top priority following the Acquisition. The financial strength and scale of the Combined Group means customers will benefit from competitive pricing, an enhanced claims experience and even better service.

The conclusion has to be that the govt messaging over the summer was entirely self defeating to the mission of economic growth, and those words came with a cost in a way they didn’t in opposition. Very, very hard to recapture the goodwill they had with business in early July.

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24.12.24 01:37
by theguardian.com

American Airlines flight grounding cancelled; UK’s FTSE 100 rises 0.4% as ‘Santa...

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, on a shortened Christmas Eve trading session in London

Jonathan Webster-Smith, chief investment officer at Bowmore Asset Management, makes an important point about the Santa rally concept:

“Every year investors hope for a Santa rally – but they should be careful about trading on the back of it.”

“The years in which this occurs are a bit too random”.

The FTSE 100 has risen in three of the past five years (2019-2023, inclusive) for the ten-day period leading up to New Year

Since its creation in 1896, the Dow Jones index has historically risen in 77% of years for the period between December 26 and January 2 – averaging +1.5%

The ‘Santa rally’ rise has occurred in 75% of the years since 1950 for the Dow Jones, according to one study

US stock market has averaged +1.3% over the last 70 years for the period between December 24 and December 31 according to another study

These gains significantly outperform the average six day return throughout the rest of the year – averaging just +0.2%

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