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India's Industrial Production Growth Falls To 2.4 Per Cent In November, Slowest In 8 Months

news.abplive.com 12-01-2024 01:49 2 Minutes reading

India's industrial production growth slumped to an 8-month low of 2.4 per cent in November, mainly because of poor performance by the manufacturing sector, according to the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation data released on Friday. The growth in factory output measured in terms of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) was 7.6 per cent in November 2022.

According to the data, the previous low of IIP growth was recorded at 1.9 per cent growth in March 2023. The IIP growth at 2.4 per cent in November is the lowest so far in the current fiscal. During April-November 2023-24, the IIP growth works out to be 6.4 per cent, up from 5.6 per cent in the corresponding period a year ago. The IIP for October 2023 was revised to 11.6 per cent from provisional estimates of 11.7 released last month.

As per official statement, the growth rates over the corresponding period of the previous year are to be interpreted, considering the unusual circumstances on account of the Covid-19 pandemic since March 2020. The IIP data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO), the manufacturing sector's output growth decelerated to 1.2 per cent in November 2023 against 6.7 per cent a year ago.

The power generation growth also slowed to 5.8 per cent in November 2023 compared to 12.7 per cent growth in the year-ago period. Mining output growth came down to 6.8 per cent in the month under review from 9.7 per cent growth a year ago.

As per use-based classification, the capital goods segment contracted 1.1 per cent in November this year compared to a growth of 20.7 per cent in the year-ago month. Consumer durables output during the month declined by 5.4 per cent against 5 per cent growth a year ago. Consumer non-durable goods output contracted by 3.6 per cent compared to a 10 per cent expansion a year earlier. Infrastructure/construction goods reported a marginal growth of 1.5 per cent against a 14.3 per cent expansion.

The data also showed that the output of primary goods logged 8.4 per cent growth in the month compared to 4.8 per cent in the year-ago period. The intermediate goods output in November remained flat at 3.5 per cent. 

ALSO READ | Retail Inflation Rises To 5.69 Per Cent In December, Highest In Four Months

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Forecasts indicating the prevalence of extreme heat across India are providing new opportunities for traders seeking stocks poised to outperform within an overvalued market landscape. The shares of air cooler manufacturers and power generators surged this week following a warning from the nation's weather agency about hotter-than-usual temperatures expected until the end of June. This sectoral upswing occurs against a backdrop of apprehensions regarding the broader equity indexes, which appear to be lacking momentum after a record-breaking rally.

In the upcoming months, hundreds of millions of voters are anticipated to participate in campaign rallies and cast their votes during a parliamentary election spanning several weeks, commencing in mid-April. This heightened level of activity is expected to magnify the effects of extreme weather conditions and subsequently increase the demand for products designed to alleviate heat-related discomfort.

While various sectors stand to gain, the overall market impact of the heat wave is nuanced. Risks such as water scarcity and crop damage may lead to sustained high food prices, potentially delaying the timing of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India. Additionally, a surge in energy demand could worsen power shortages in certain regions. Although numerous sectors may experience positive effects, the overall market repercussions of the heat wave are multifaceted. Concerns regarding water scarcity and crop damage might maintain high food prices, potentially delaying the timing of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India. 

Furthermore, an increase in energy demand could worsen power shortages in specific regions.

Stocks of companies specialising in air conditioners, coolers, and fans promptly reacted to the weather advisory. An equally weighted group comprising eight firms engaged in manufacturing air cooling products surged by over 8 per cent during the current week. “Demand for consumer durables and white goods appliances is expected to go up, not only from metro cities but semi-urban, rural India,” said Gaurang Shah, a strategist at Geojit Financial Services Ltd.

Also Read: Cognizant Postpones Salary Hike For Eligible Employees To August 2024: Report

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